Esopus leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Esopus typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Esopus, ~40% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Esopus compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Esopus leans more Democratic than 76 of 114 neighbors.
Esopus runs about 6 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Esopus. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+23) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Esopus leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Esopus, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Esopus hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Esopus have never been married, above 87% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Esopus, NY sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Esopus looks the way it does
Turnout in Esopus sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Park, NY D+23
- Ulster Park, NY D+11
- Rifton, NY D+10
- Staatsburg, NY D+3
- Hyde Park, NY Even
- Bloomington, NY D+19
- Port Ewen, NY Even
- Tillson, NY D+22
- Haviland, NY Even
- Rosendale, NY D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harpers Ferry, IA R+34
- Eakly, OK R+72
- Fondis, CO R+50
- Limestone, WV R+69
- South Solon, OH R+62
- Reasnor, IA R+48
- Iago, TX R+60
- Hubbard, NE R+55
- Herndon, KY R+62
- Menlo, IA R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.