Fair Oaks is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Fair Oaks typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fair Oaks, ~8% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fair Oaks compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fair Oaks leans more Republican than 47 of 51 neighbors.
Fair Oaks runs about 44 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Fair Oaks leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Fair Oaks. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Fair Oaks, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fair Oaks looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Fair Oaks have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tilton, AR R+74
- Penrose, AR R+76
- Morton, AR R+75
- Hickory Ridge, AR R+74
- Pumpkin Bend, AR R+73
- McFadden, AR R+74
- Wynne, AR R+35
- Hillemann, AR R+69
- Colt, AR R+41
- McCrory, AR R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Trent, KY R+63
- Portal, AZ R+39
- Routon, LA R+92
- North Towanda, PA R+49
- Nelson, KY R+61
- Grassy Cove, TN R+70
- Medoc, MO R+71
- Mount Tabor, KY R+69
- Sylvania, PA R+61
- Donaldson, KY R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.