Fairchild AFB leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Fairchild AFB typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fairchild AFB, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fairchild AFB compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fairchild AFB leans more Republican than 7 of 37 neighbors.
Fairchild AFB runs about 31 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Fairchild AFB is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fairchild AFB. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Fairchild AFB leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fairchild AFB, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fairchild AFB votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 76%, far above the Washington average of 41%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 92% of households in Fairchild AFB are family households, in the top fraction of cities. Fairchild AFB runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Fairchild AFB, WA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fairchild AFB looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 98% of households in Fairchild AFB rent, about 73 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Fairchild AFB have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fairchild Air Force Base, WA R+37
- Medical Lake, WA R+25
- Airway Heights, WA R+16
- Espanola, WA R+35
- Four Lakes, WA R+31
- Lakeland Village, WA R+30
- Seven Mile, WA R+32
- Reardan, WA R+56
- Cheney, WA Even
- Waukon, WA R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tannersville, PA R+10
- Salemburg, NC R+37
- Damascus, VA R+58
- Wadley, GA D+44
- Independence, WI R+28
- Salina, UT R+68
- Garysburg, NC D+56
- San Geronimo, TX R+32
- Pine Forest, TX R+80
- Whetstone, AZ R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.