Ferguson is a Democratic stronghold. About 85% of voters here vote Democratic and 15% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Ferguson typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ferguson, ~52% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ferguson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ferguson leans more Democratic than 144 of 176 neighbors.
Ferguson runs about 88 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Ferguson is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ferguson. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+83) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+60), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Ferguson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ferguson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Ferguson live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Ferguson have never been married, above 98% of cities. Ferguson runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Ferguson, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ferguson looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 48% of households in Ferguson rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Ferguson sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Ferguson report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dellwood, MO D+77
- Kinloch, MO D+77
- Cool Valley, MO D+75
- Calverton Park, MO D+53
- Berkeley, MO D+72
- Normandy, MO D+75
- Country Club Hills, MO D+80
- Norwood Court, MO D+82
- Pasadena Park, MO D+80
- Bellerive, MO D+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eastlake, OH R+14
- Emmaus, PA R+6
- Purcellville, VA Even
- Creve Coeur, MO D+24
- Greensburg, IN R+51
- Alton, TX R+3
- Springfield, NJ D+18
- Rockland, MA R+3
- Gibsonton, FL D+4
- Cedar Lake, IN R+37
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.