Florence leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 80% of adults in Florence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Florence, ~34% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Florence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Florence leans more Republican than 57 of 92 neighbors.
Florence runs about 48 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Florence is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Florence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Florence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Florence votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Florence runs about 48 points more Republican.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Florence, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Florence looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Florence have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Proctor, VT R+15
- Pittsford, VT R+11
- East Hubbardton, VT R+14
- Chittenden, VT R+7
- Hubbardton, VT R+21
- Center Rutland, VT R+8
- Rutland, VT D+3
- Brandon, VT R+19
- Castleton, VT R+10
- West Rutland, VT R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elmwood Park, WI D+13
- Ivy, VA D+13
- Nogalus, TX R+78
- Napaskiak, AK D+19
- Olive Branch, NC R+66
- Irwin, OH R+58
- Marion, ID R+77
- Dexter, KS R+74
- Petrolia, CA D+5
- Theressa, FL R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.