Fruitvale is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Fruitvale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fruitvale, ~43% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fruitvale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fruitvale sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 13 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 18 leaning the other way.
Fruitvale runs about 14 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fruitvale. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Fruitvale leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Fruitvale. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Fruitvale, OR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fruitvale looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Fruitvale own their home, about 17 points above the Oregon average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moody, OR D+28
- Toledo, OR R+16
- Newport, OR D+29
- Yaquina, OR Even
- Beverly Beach, OR D+22
- Elk City, OR R+28
- South Beach, OR D+26
- Siletz, OR R+10
- Otter Rock, OR D+22
- Logsden, OR R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stoneham, CO R+74
- Rosebud, IL R+60
- Murdock Crossing, MS D+26
- Spring Hill, AL D+9
- Seaboard, AL R+77
- Colmar, IL R+51
- Fox Hill, AR R+65
- Connerville, OK R+63
- Blue Mountain Lake, NY D+4
- Sunny Hill, IL R+33
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.