Garden City is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Garden City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden City, ~38% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden City sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 22 leaning the other way.
Garden City runs about 34 points more Democratic than Idaho as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garden City. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Garden City leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Garden City. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Garden City, ID sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Garden City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Garden City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Eagle, ID R+29
- Boise, ID R+20
- Meridian, ID R+25
- Star, ID R+48
- Pearl, ID R+62
- Kuna, ID R+50
- Robie Creek, ID R+48
- Mora, ID R+49
- Nampa, ID R+36
- Middleton, ID R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sun City West, AZ R+16
- Edwardsville, IL D+6
- Castaic, CA R+7
- Mehlville, MO Even
- Washington, UT R+55
- Rockville Centre, NY D+7
- Severna Park, MD D+12
- Fremont, NE R+26
- Moscow, ID D+15
- Sugar Hill, GA R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.