Garden City is a Republican stronghold. About 8% of voters here vote Democratic and 92% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Garden City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden City, ~7% vote Democratic, ~76% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden City leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Garden City runs about 71 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Garden City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garden City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Garden City live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Garden City, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Garden City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Garden City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Lawrence, TX R+81
- Lees, TX R+86
- Lomax, TX R+82
- Forsan, TX R+85
- Hyman, TX R+68
- Spraberry, TX R+82
- Big Spring, TX R+47
- Stanton, TX R+65
- Midkiff, TX R+73
- Sterling City, TX R+80
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adin, CA R+49
- Graysville, PA R+60
- McIntosh, GA D+38
- Hillaryville, LA R+7
- Lowes Crossroads, DE R+54
- High Landing, MN R+40
- Wann, NE R+52
- Dice, KY R+65
- Highgate Falls, VT R+31
- Patterson Creek, WV R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.