Gardner leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Gardner typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gardner, ~28% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gardner compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gardner leans more Republican than 20 of 61 neighbors.
Politically, Gardner sits close to the rest of Kansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gardner. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Gardner leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gardner, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gardner votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, far above the Kansas average of 19%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Gardner are family households, above 75% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Gardner, KS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gardner looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gardner is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Gardner have completed high school, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Century, KS R+9
- Clare, KS R+29
- Edgerton, KS R+31
- Spring Hill, KS R+32
- Ocheltree, KS R+29
- Olathe, KS D+2
- Hesper, KS R+37
- Clearfield, KS R+35
- DeSoto, KS R+21
- Hillsdale, KS R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Palestine, TX R+31
- Vero Beach South, FL R+22
- Chippewa Falls, WI R+14
- Rincon, GA R+35
- South Plainfield, NJ D+2
- Owosso, MI R+19
- Newton, NC R+37
- Darien, IL D+3
- Helena, AL R+31
- Amsterdam, NY R+10
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.