Gatesville leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Gatesville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gatesville, ~20% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gatesville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gatesville leans more Republican than 32 of 49 neighbors.
Gatesville runs about 18 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Why Gatesville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gatesville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Gatesville hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Mississippi average of 19%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Gatesville are family households, above 84% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Gatesville, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Gatesville looks the way it does
Turnout in Gatesville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hopewell, MS R+7
- Crystal Springs, MS D+16
- Rosemary, MS D+14
- Harrisville, MS R+25
- Rexford, MS R+81
- Terry, MS R+4
- Thomasville, MS R+61
- Georgetown, MS R+8
- Shady Grove, MS Even
- Gallman, MS D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- McElroy, TX R+80
- Loraine, MS R+71
- Pennington, CA R+51
- East Templeton, MA R+16
- Coffey, MO R+68
- Napier, TN R+74
- Teloga, GA R+72
- Cliff, NM R+40
- Clayton, WV R+52
- Rosella, MS R+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.