Gay Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Gay Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gay Hill, ~15% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gay Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gay Hill leans more Republican than 19 of 39 neighbors.
Gay Hill runs about 48 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gay Hill. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Gay Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gay Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Gay Hill are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Gay Hill, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gay Hill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Gay Hill own their home, about 21 points above the Texas average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clay, TX R+28
- Winedale, TX R+63
- Mill Creek, TX R+64
- Somerville, TX R+50
- Burton, TX R+63
- Independence, TX R+53
- Lyons, TX R+58
- Brenham, TX R+31
- Wilcox, TX R+50
- Sandy Hill, TX R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rawalts, IL R+39
- Dawson, IA R+39
- Spring Creek, SD D+53
- Elba, NE R+69
- Lazear, CO R+49
- Dunnsville, NY Even
- Maryland Point, MD R+19
- Victory Lakes, NJ R+30
- Greenough, GA R+26
- Romance, WV R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.