Grand Bay is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Grand Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grand Bay, ~10% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grand Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grand Bay leans more Republican than 17 of 30 neighbors.
Grand Bay runs about 39 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grand Bay. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+80) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Grand Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grand Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Grand Bay drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Grand Bay sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities).
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Grand Bay, AL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Grand Bay looks the way it does
Turnout in Grand Bay sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Elmo, AL R+58
- Irvington, AL R+59
- San Souci Beach, AL R+73
- Bayou La Batre, AL R+55
- Seven Hills, AL R+63
- Tillmans Corner, AL R+37
- Theodore, AL R+43
- Moss Point, MS R+12
- Coden, AL R+76
- Delchamps, AL R+82
Cities with Similar Populations
- Logan, OH R+49
- Gaylord, MI R+24
- West Henrietta, NY D+22
- Hastings, MI R+30
- Wyckoff, NJ R+5
- Madison, NJ D+22
- Spencerport, NY R+14
- Selma, NC R+12
- Barnstable Town, MA D+17
- Three Rivers, MI R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.