Grand Prairie leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Grand Prairie typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grand Prairie, ~28% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grand Prairie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grand Prairie leans more Democratic than 60 of 69 neighbors.
Grand Prairie runs about 36 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Grand Prairie is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grand Prairie. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Grand Prairie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grand Prairie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in Grand Prairie live in densely developed areas, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Grand Prairie have never been married, above 88% of cities. Grand Prairie runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Grand Prairie, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Grand Prairie looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grand Prairie is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Grand Prairie rent, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arlington, TX D+13
- Duncanville, TX D+34
- Pantego, TX R+17
- Dalworthington Gardens, TX R+25
- Cockrell Hill, TX D+20
- Cedar Hill, TX D+49
- Mansfield, TX R+5
- Euless, TX D+7
- Irving, TX D+17
- Kennedale, TX R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wilmington, DE D+39
- Huntsville, AL D+12
- Cypress, TX R+14
- Sunrise Manor, NV D+20
- McKinney, TX R+6
- Montgomery, AL D+44
- Frisco, TX R+5
- Sioux Falls, SD R+5
- Shreveport, LA D+29
- Murfreesboro, TN R+14
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.