Greenville leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Greenville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenville, ~47% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greenville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Greenville leans more Democratic than 57 of 61 neighbors.
Greenville runs about 29 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Greenville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Greenville. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+55) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 65 points.
Why Greenville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 65% of residents in Greenville live in densely developed areas, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Greenville sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 83% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Greenville have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Greenville, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Greenville looks the way it does
Turnout in Greenville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winterville, NC D+14
- Rock Spring, NC D+26
- Simpson, NC R+15
- Bruce, NC D+36
- Bellarthur, NC Even
- California, NC R+5
- Grimesland, NC R+26
- Whichard, NC R+18
- Ayden, NC R+8
- Rountree, NC R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Norwalk, CA D+26
- Longview, TX R+25
- Merced, CA D+6
- Antioch, TN D+28
- New Port Richey, FL R+27
- Kent, WA D+28
- Baytown, TX R+4
- Davenport, IA D+14
- Highlands Ranch, CO D+4
- Quincy, MA D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.