Grimes leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Grimes typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grimes, ~20% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grimes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grimes leans more Republican than 4 of 59 neighbors.
Grimes runs about 10 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grimes. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Grimes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grimes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 5% of adults in Grimes hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Alabama average of 20%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Grimes drive to work alone, above 83% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Grimes, AL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Grimes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grimes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 8 points below the Alabama average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 55% of households in Grimes rent, compared to around 31% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Grimes report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Napier Field, AL R+45
- Midland City, AL R+52
- Blackwood, AL R+70
- Pinckard, AL R+66
- Dothan, AL R+17
- Kinsey, AL Even
- Headland, AL R+57
- Newton, AL R+77
- Taylor, AL R+67
- Browns Crossroads, AL R+87
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zenith, IL R+71
- South Auburn, PA R+56
- Sumner, MS D+38
- Harding, WV R+65
- Jennie, MN R+48
- Kilbourne, LA R+73
- Carter, OK R+78
- Sinclair City, TX R+57
- Segars, SC R+56
- Jamesburg, CA D+3
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.