Hartford is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Hartford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hartford, ~12% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hartford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hartford leans more Republican than 40 of 54 neighbors.
Hartford runs about 40 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Hartford drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Hartford, TN sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Hartford looks the way it does
Turnout in Hartford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Raven Branch, TN R+70
- Nough, TN R+69
- Edwina, TN R+70
- Del Rio, TN R+68
- Catons Grove, TN R+67
- Cosby, TN R+69
- Harmony Grove, TN R+69
- Carson Spring, TN R+70
- Newport, TN R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adrian, OH R+52
- Virgil City, MO R+71
- Bloomingdale, IN R+60
- Herman Center, WI R+57
- Old Union, MS R+8
- Moore, ID R+75
- Harrietta, MI R+39
- Meadowview Estates, KY D+30
- Grant, OK R+65
- Willard, WI R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.