Hawarden is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Hawarden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hawarden, ~22% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hawarden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hawarden leans more Republican than 18 of 42 neighbors.
Hawarden runs about 39 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Why Hawarden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hawarden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hawarden votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly above the Iowa average of 16%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Hawarden are family households, above 77% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hawarden, IA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hawarden looks the way it does
Turnout in Hawarden sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McNally, IA R+64
- Big Springs, SD R+47
- Chatsworth, IA R+61
- Alcester, SD R+43
- Hudson, SD R+52
- Ireton, IA R+78
- Norway Center, SD R+50
- Craig, IA R+63
- Emmet, SD R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fairmount, GA R+75
- Stearns, KY R+73
- Galveston, IN R+56
- Medina, WA D+29
- Rough And Ready, CA R+7
- Cove, TX R+69
- Pauma Valley, CA R+26
- Riverview, MO D+69
- Wyandotte, OK R+63
- Upperco, MD R+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.