Hermitage, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hermitage

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hermitage leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in Hermitage typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hermitage, ~36% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hermitage compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hermitage leans more Democratic than 42 of 46 neighbors.

Hermitage runs about 40 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Hermitage is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hermitage. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 39 points.

Why Hermitage leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hermitage, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 69% of residents in Hermitage live in densely developed areas, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Hermitage sits in the top quarter (about 42%, above 89% of cities). Hermitage runs against the grain of Tennessee, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Hermitage, TN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Hermitage looks the way it does

Turnout in Hermitage sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.