Hesper leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Hesper typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hesper, ~21% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hesper compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hesper leans more Republican than 4 of 14 neighbors.
Hesper runs about 29 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hesper. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Hesper leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hesper, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hesper votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 31%, well above the Montana average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hesper, MT sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hesper looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Hesper have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Billings, MT R+20
- Laurel, MT R+42
- Lockwood, MT R+43
- Billings Heights, MT R+56
- Silesia, MT R+64
- Acton, MT R+57
- Molt, MT R+64
- Park City, MT R+66
- Huntley, MT R+64
- Rockvale, MT R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Andover, NH R+12
- Damariscotta, ME D+8
- Cadyville, NY R+17
- Mohawk, TN R+71
- Marine On St. Croix, MN D+14
- Pleasureville, KY R+56
- Stewartsville, MO R+55
- Fair Play, MO R+67
- Southside Place, TX D+6
- East Gull Lake, MN R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.