Hickory Hills leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Hickory Hills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Hills, ~28% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hickory Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Hills leans more Republican than 143 of 161 neighbors.
Hickory Hills runs about 22 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Hickory Hills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hickory Hills. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Hickory Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hickory Hills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the Illinois average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Hickory Hills runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Hickory Hills, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hickory Hills looks the way it does
Turnout in Hickory Hills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Justice, IL D+4
- Bridgeview, IL R+11
- Palos Hills, IL R+11
- Willow Springs, IL R+12
- Chicago Ridge, IL R+3
- Worth, IL R+13
- Burbank, IL R+8
- Hodgkins, IL R+18
- Bedford Park, IL R+10
- Oak Lawn, IL D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Clairsville, OH R+37
- Kettering, MD D+86
- Mahomet, IL R+11
- Jennings, LA R+50
- Artondale, WA D+8
- Dentsville, SC D+66
- Red Bank, TN R+7
- Portage, WI R+13
- Lake Ronkonkoma, NY R+22
- Cottonwood, CA R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.