Hilltop Lakes is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Hilltop Lakes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hilltop Lakes, ~12% vote Democratic, ~89% Republican, and ~-1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hilltop Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hilltop Lakes leans more Republican than 26 of 31 neighbors.
Hilltop Lakes runs about 63 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Hilltop Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hilltop Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. More than 99% of residents in Hilltop Lakes drive to work alone, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Hilltop Lakes, TX sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Hilltop Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hilltop Lakes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Laceola, TX R+73
- Wealthy, TX R+73
- Flynn, TX R+74
- Normangee, TX R+74
- Ridge, TX R+79
- Marquez, TX R+73
- Eaton, TX R+70
- Robbins, TX R+73
- Spring Seat, TX R+73
- Mecca, TX R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- George, IA R+61
- Jack, AL R+84
- Nectar, AL R+84
- Chinook, MT R+39
- Germantown, KY R+62
- Austinville, VA R+68
- Beauty, KY R+77
- Luna Pier, MI R+17
- Guysville, OH R+43
- Villa, OH R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.