Holly Springs leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Holly Springs typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holly Springs, ~40% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holly Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holly Springs leans more Democratic than 40 of 41 neighbors.
Holly Springs runs about 53 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Holly Springs is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Holly Springs. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+67) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 87 points.
Why Holly Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holly Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Holly Springs is about 33%, about 39 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in Holly Springs have never been married, above 96% of cities. Holly Springs runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Holly Springs, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Holly Springs looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Holly Springs is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 9%, about 51 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Holly Springs report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mack, MS D+15
- Marianna, MS R+6
- Red Banks, MS R+12
- Victoria, MS D+2
- Watson, MS R+21
- Hudsonville, MS R+18
- Slayden, MS R+29
- Mount Pleasant, MS R+32
- Lake Center, MS R+31
- Taska, MS R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Waynesville, MO R+40
- Glenolden, PA D+11
- Eagle Point, OR R+30
- Stony Point, NY R+19
- Rantoul, IL D+11
- Perryville, MO R+58
- Bryan, OH R+38
- Mounds View, MN D+22
- Starke, FL R+45
- Florence, OR D+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.