Jasper is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Jasper typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jasper, ~14% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jasper compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jasper leans more Republican than 86 of 95 neighbors.
Jasper runs about 77 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Jasper is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Jasper leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jasper, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jasper votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Jasper runs about 77 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Jasper are family households, above 93% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Jasper, NY sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Jasper looks the way it does
Turnout in Jasper sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hedgesville, NY R+61
- Troupsburg, NY R+66
- Woodhull, NY R+62
- Cameron, NY R+62
- South Canisteo, NY R+59
- Greenwood, NY R+62
- Cameron Mills, NY R+62
- Young Hickory, NY R+65
- Rexville, NY R+63
- West Greenwood, NY R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poagville, MS R+65
- Alma, CO D+13
- Windthorst, TX R+80
- Oshkosh, NE R+68
- Kerby, MI R+31
- Oldtown, MD R+67
- Sydnorsville, VA R+52
- Stockton, MN R+28
- Erskine, MN R+47
- Leon, KS R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.