Jefferson is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Jefferson typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jefferson, ~11% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jefferson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jefferson leans more Republican than 20 of 34 neighbors.
Jefferson runs about 53 points more Republican than Kansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jefferson. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+65), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Jefferson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jefferson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Jefferson drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Jefferson, KS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Jefferson looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Jefferson own their home, about 15 points above the Kansas average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dearing, KS R+63
- West Coffeyville, KS R+49
- Fruitland, KS R+56
- Tyro, KS R+71
- Coffeyville, KS R+31
- Wayside, KS R+75
- Independence, KS R+36
- Liberty, KS R+68
- South Coffeyville, OK R+63
- Havana, KS R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Circle Hill, OH R+64
- Madison Center, NY R+37
- Kellerville, IN R+58
- Kittredge, CO D+21
- Sunizona, AZ R+41
- Jewett, WI R+39
- Curran, MI R+45
- Regina, KY R+65
- Busby, TN R+68
- Tarboro, GA R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.