Kasilof leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in Kasilof typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kasilof, ~22% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kasilof compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kasilof is the most Republican-leaning.
Kasilof runs about 26 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Why Kasilof leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kasilof. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kasilof, AK sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Kasilof looks the way it does
Turnout in Kasilof sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clam Gulch, AK R+32
- Cohoe, AK R+38
- Kalifornsky, AK R+29
- Soldotna, AK R+30
- Kenai, AK R+28
- Sterling, AK R+39
- Ninilchik, AK R+32
- Nikiski, AK R+50
- Happy Valley, AK R+32
- Anchor Point, AK R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Laurelville, OH R+56
- Belfry, KY R+70
- Maple Park, IL R+29
- Wilson, OK R+73
- Greenfield, IA R+38
- Hamilton, MS R+61
- Livingston Manor, NY R+16
- Nunda, NY R+41
- Millport, AL R+78
- Colwyn, PA D+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.