Keene leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 73% of adults in Keene typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keene, ~44% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Keene compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Keene leans more Democratic than 85 of 100 neighbors.
Keene runs about 20 points more Democratic than New Hampshire as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Keene. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Keene leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keene, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 44% of adults in Keene hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Keene have never been married, above 93% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Keene, NH sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Keene looks the way it does
Turnout in Keene sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Swanzey, NH R+9
- Surry, NH R+16
- West Swanzey, NH R+11
- Swanzey, NH R+16
- Marlborough, NH R+8
- Sullivan, NH D+4
- Spofford, NH D+7
- Westmoreland, NH D+6
- Gilsum, NH R+18
- Nelson, NH D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Augusta, ME Even
- Champlin, MN D+10
- Libertyville, IL D+26
- Latrobe, PA R+29
- Gainesville, TX R+44
- Mountain Brook, AL R+23
- American Canyon, CA D+29
- Trotwood, OH D+64
- Palatka, FL R+18
- Antioch, IL R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.