Kelly leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Kelly typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kelly, ~22% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kelly compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kelly leans more Republican than 29 of 71 neighbors.
Kelly runs about 31 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Kelly leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kelly. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kelly, TX sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Kelly looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Kelly have completed high school, about 13 points above the Texas average of 86%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Kelly own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Weston, TX R+45
- Anna, TX R+27
- Melissa, TX R+24
- Van Alstyne, TX R+51
- Westminster, TX R+55
- Parvin, TX R+40
- Marilee, TX R+58
- Cannon, TX R+70
- Gunter, TX R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ramsay, MI R+24
- Rutland, IL R+45
- Moores Chapel, TN R+69
- Latty, OH R+61
- Lumbull, AL R+81
- Denhawken, TX R+73
- Gardner, LA R+78
- Roeton, AL R+78
- Randolph, IA R+49
- Brandamore, PA R+9
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.