Kerns is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Kerns typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kerns, ~9% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kerns compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kerns leans more Republican than 85 of 89 neighbors.
Kerns runs about 82 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Kerns is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Kerns leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kerns, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Kerns, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 88% of residents in Kerns drive to work alone, above 90% of cities. Kerns runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kerns, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kerns looks the way it does
Turnout in Kerns sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Blackmore, VA R+77
- Wood, VA R+75
- Williams Mill, VA R+72
- Rye Cove, VA R+76
- Manville, VA R+75
- Cracker Neck, VA R+75
- Verdi, VA R+75
- Snowflake, VA R+72
- Gate City, VA R+66
- Dungannon, VA R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gordonville, AL D+78
- Bishop Hill, IL R+33
- Pekin, ND R+43
- Havilah, CA R+47
- Tell, WI R+29
- Laings, OH R+67
- Munson, MI R+54
- Blue Goose, TN R+66
- Clothier, WV R+67
- Ready, KY R+70
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.