Kirk leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Kirk typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirk, ~21% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirk compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirk is the least Republican-leaning.
Kirk runs about 49 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Kirk is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Kirk leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirk, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kirk votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Kirk runs about 49 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Kirk sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 89% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Kirk, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Kirk looks the way it does
Turnout in Kirk sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pine Ridge, OR R+37
- Fort Klamath, OR R+39
- Chiloquin, OR R+45
- Rocky Point, OR R+47
- Modoc Point, OR R+41
- Diamond Lake Junction, OR R+36
- Sprague River, OR R+41
- Shady Pine, OR R+36
- Wocus, OR R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Doyon, ND R+47
- Pickwick, MS R+34
- White, MI R+15
- Rowena, GA Even
- Marlboro, ME D+6
- Mandeville, WV R+60
- East Stanwood, WA R+23
- Mc Coy, CO Even
- Felton, AR D+7
- Moccasin, CA R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.