Kirkwood leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Kirkwood typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirkwood, ~26% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirkwood compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirkwood leans more Republican than 13 of 101 neighbors.
Kirkwood runs about 38 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Kirkwood is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kirkwood. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Kirkwood leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirkwood, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kirkwood votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Kirkwood sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities). Kirkwood runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Kirkwood, NY does.
Why turnout in Kirkwood looks the way it does
Turnout in Kirkwood sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Conklin, NY R+26
- Conklin Forks, NY R+32
- Windsor, NY R+32
- West Colesville, NY R+44
- Binghamton, NY D+14
- Port Dickinson, NY Even
- Great Bend, PA R+32
- Edson, NY R+36
- Hallstead, PA R+40
- Port Crane, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Richmond, MN R+59
- Epsom, NH R+8
- Dry Prong, LA R+85
- Rising Fawn, GA R+61
- Weatherly, PA R+42
- Salina, OK R+56
- Bismarck, AR R+68
- Burton, OH R+37
- Redland, AL R+46
- Grapeview, WA R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.