Knowelhurst leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Knowelhurst typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Knowelhurst, ~24% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Knowelhurst compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Knowelhurst leans more Republican than 54 of 64 neighbors.
Knowelhurst runs about 50 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Knowelhurst is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Knowelhurst leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Knowelhurst, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Knowelhurst live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the New York average of 36%. Knowelhurst runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Knowelhurst, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Knowelhurst looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Knowelhurst own their home, about 15 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stony Creek, NY R+38
- Athol, NY R+38
- Hadley, NY R+34
- Overlook, NY R+32
- Lake Luzerne, NY R+29
- Thurman, NY R+26
- Edwards Hill, NY R+15
- Warrensburg, NY R+28
- Johnsburg, NY R+15
- Lake Vanare, NY R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zaneta, IA R+34
- Carmel, GA R+20
- Gladdice, TN R+65
- Santa Fe, IN R+66
- McKnightstown, PA R+45
- Port Sheldon, MI R+19
- Poplar City, IL R+54
- Pond Gap, WV R+54
- Holy Trinity, AL R+26
- Hockingport, OH R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.