Lake Mary leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Lake Mary typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Mary, ~33% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Mary compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Mary leans more Republican than 26 of 63 neighbors.
Lake Mary runs about 4 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lake Mary. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Lake Mary leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Mary, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake Mary votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 80%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Lake Mary, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lake Mary looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Lake Mary have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Longwood, FL R+16
- Sanford, FL D+9
- Wekiwa Springs, FL R+16
- Winter Springs, FL R+14
- Altamonte Springs, FL D+7
- Casselberry, FL R+4
- Maitland, FL D+6
- Forest City, FL R+11
- DeBary, FL R+24
- Eatonville, FL D+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beloit, WI D+12
- Winter Springs, FL R+14
- Hutchinson, KS R+28
- Middletown, DE D+16
- Fallbrook, CA R+8
- Concord, NH D+21
- Taylors, SC R+30
- Owasso, OK R+25
- Woodland Hills, CA D+23
- Johnstown, PA R+21
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.