Lake Medina Shores leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Lake Medina Shores typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Medina Shores, ~18% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Medina Shores compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Medina Shores leans more Republican than 11 of 22 neighbors.
Lake Medina Shores runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Lake Medina Shores leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Medina Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Lake Medina Shores hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lake Medina Shores, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake Medina Shores looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lake Medina Shores is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lakehills, TX R+56
- Pipe Creek, TX R+61
- Mico, TX R+58
- Bandera, TX R+61
- San Geronimo, TX R+32
- Rio Medina, TX R+35
- Tarpley, TX R+54
- Quihi, TX R+63
- Grey Forest, TX R+20
- New Fountain, TX R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sappho, WA R+20
- Minden, IA R+48
- Kelley, IA R+10
- Silver Creek, OH R+34
- Tiki Island, TX R+48
- Bow Mar, CO D+12
- Ferron, UT R+76
- Luxora, AR D+15
- Milmay, NJ R+37
- Marlboro, OH R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.