Lawrence is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 96% of adults in Lawrence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence, ~15% vote Democratic, ~81% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrence leans more Republican than 20 of 34 neighbors.
Lawrence runs about 47 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Why Lawrence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Lawrence, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Nebraska average of 27%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Lawrence are family households, above 85% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lawrence, NE sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrence looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Lawrence own their home, about 20 points above the Nebraska average of 77%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Lawrence have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Stephens, NE R+69
- Rosemont, NE R+73
- Deweese, NE R+66
- Mount Clare, NE R+68
- Pauline, NE R+72
- Blue Hill, NE R+70
- Nelson, NE R+63
- Fairfield, NE R+67
- Glenvil, NE R+67
- Ayr, NE R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Renovo, PA R+58
- Happy Hollow, MO R+65
- Osmond, WY R+77
- Capel, GA R+75
- Ingold, NC R+23
- Camp Leach, NC R+61
- Kimball, ID R+64
- Fairland, TX R+68
- Kirkwood Springs, KY R+72
- Sumter, GA R+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.