Lawrence leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Lawrence typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence, ~25% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrence leans more Republican than 12 of 53 neighbors.
Politically, Lawrence sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrence. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+51), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Lawrence leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lawrence. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lawrence, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lawrence looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrence is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 35% of households in Lawrence rent, compared to around 14% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Terrell, TX R+25
- Talty, TX R+54
- Forney, TX R+9
- McLendon-Chisholm, TX R+52
- Heath, TX R+45
- Post Oak Bend City, TX R+61
- Crandall, TX R+23
- Gastonia, TX R+62
- Rockwall, TX R+31
- Kaufman, TX R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ethan, SD R+66
- Fallston, NC R+55
- Pulaski, MO R+70
- Oliver, AL R+70
- Kosse, TX R+74
- Churchtown, PA R+63
- Embarrass, MN R+19
- Sierra View, PA R+15
- Wentworth, TX R+79
- Owendale, MI R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.