Lawrenceville leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Lawrenceville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrenceville, ~13% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrenceville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrenceville leans more Republican than 26 of 43 neighbors.
Lawrenceville runs about 12 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrenceville. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Lawrenceville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lawrenceville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lawrenceville, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lawrenceville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrenceville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Lawrenceville report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pine City, AR R+33
- Casscoe, AR R+69
- Holly Grove, AR R+38
- Crocketts Bluff, AR R+72
- St. Charles, AR R+68
- Turner, AR R+34
- Immanuel, AR R+65
- Postelle, AR D+4
- Van, AR R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Abbot Village, ME R+45
- Tuthill, SD R+14
- Lynchville, ME R+11
- Woodford, OK R+50
- Twelve Corners, MI R+13
- Carneiro, KS R+76
- Cartwright, ND R+83
- Canones, NM D+28
- Arbon, ID R+74
- Cedar Hill, MS Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.