Lilley leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Lilley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lilley, ~17% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lilley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lilley leans more Republican than 35 of 39 neighbors.
Lilley runs about 45 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lilley. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Lilley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lilley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Lilley live in densely developed areas, about 26 points below the Michigan average of 31%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lilley, MI sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Lilley looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Lilley own their home, about 8 points above the Michigan average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bitely, MI R+45
- Woodland Park, MI R+42
- Marlborough, MI R+17
- Brohman, MI R+49
- Idlewild, MI D+3
- Baldwin, MI R+19
- Pine Grove Beach, MI R+33
- Nirvana, MI R+14
- Hawkins, MI R+49
- Ramona, MI R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sims, IL R+72
- Pulteney, NY R+29
- Horse Creek, TN R+69
- Millville, MO R+64
- Huslia, AK D+33
- Vashti, TX R+83
- Honey Creek, IN R+57
- Cody, NE R+79
- Anderson, KY R+65
- Egypt, TX D+10
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.