Lincoln City leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Lincoln City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln City, ~50% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln City leans more Democratic than 23 of 29 neighbors.
Politically, Lincoln City sits close to the rest of Oregon.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lincoln City. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+31) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Lincoln City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincoln City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 38% of residents in Lincoln City live in densely developed areas, above 83% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lincoln City, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lincoln City looks the way it does
Turnout in Lincoln City sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- DeLake, OR D+5
- Neotsu, OR D+29
- Nelscott, OR Even
- Otis, OR Even
- Gleneden Beach, OR D+17
- Three Rocks, OR D+10
- Rose Lodge, OR R+8
- Lincoln Beach, OR D+4
- Kernville, OR D+4
- Roads End, OR R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Keokuk, IA R+19
- Independence, OR R+8
- Brazoria, TX R+51
- Cranbury, NJ D+23
- La Feria, TX R+4
- North Wantagh, NY R+25
- College Place, WA R+3
- Centerville, MA D+11
- Littlestown, PA R+44
- Shallotte, NC R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.