Lincoln is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Lincoln typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln, ~15% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln leans more Republican than 12 of 43 neighbors.
Lincoln runs about 44 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Lincoln leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lincoln. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Income per capita and voter turnout
Places with high per-capita income tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lincoln, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lincoln looks the way it does
Turnout in Lincoln sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ionia, MO R+67
- Cole Camp, MO R+59
- White Branch, MO R+61
- Warsaw, MO R+57
- Palopinto, MO R+67
- Cold Springs, MO R+56
- Lakeview Heights, MO R+63
- Racket, MO R+60
- Whitakerville, MO R+60
- Leesville, MO R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Junction, TX R+57
- Norwood, NY R+24
- West Monroe, NY R+34
- Dennis, MA D+20
- Ucon, ID R+66
- Wagram, NC R+3
- Belgrade, ME D+7
- Brandon, WI R+49
- Nashotah, WI R+19
- Tutwiler, MS D+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.