Lock Springs is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Lock Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lock Springs, ~11% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lock Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lock Springs leans more Republican than 25 of 39 neighbors.
Lock Springs runs about 51 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Lock Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lock Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Lock Springs hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Lock Springs is about 96%, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Lock Springs are family households, above 97% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Lock Springs, MO sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lock Springs looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Lock Springs own their home, about 16 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sampsel, MO R+68
- Jamesport, MO R+65
- Springhill, MO R+69
- Breckenridge, MO R+66
- Hickory Creek, MO R+71
- Nettleton, MO R+68
- Mooresville, MO R+67
- Gallatin, MO R+59
- Utica, MO R+68
- Chillicothe, MO R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zeba, MI R+19
- Moody, MO R+73
- College Hill, OH R+58
- Plano, IN R+62
- Otisco, MN R+50
- Cashtown, PA R+40
- Orchard, ID R+54
- Fly, TN R+67
- Lewis, SC R+21
- Huntersland, NY R+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.