Locust Hill, NC Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Locust Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Locust Hill leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 63% of adults in Locust Hill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Locust Hill, ~25% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Locust Hill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Locust Hill leans more Republican than 26 of 58 neighbors.

Locust Hill runs about 19 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.

Why Locust Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Locust Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Locust Hill drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Locust Hill sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 89% of cities).

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Locust Hill, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Locust Hill looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Locust Hill own their home, about 20 points above the North Carolina average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.