Lucero leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Lucero typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lucero, ~48% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lucero compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lucero leans more Democratic than 33 of 42 neighbors.
Lucero runs about 42 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Lucero leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lucero, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in Lucero hold a bachelor's degree, above 77% of cities. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Lucero have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Lucero, NM sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Lucero looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lucero is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ranchos de Taos, NM D+34
- Talpa, NM D+48
- Trampas, NM D+52
- Ranchito, NM D+46
- Taos, NM D+50
- El Prado, NM D+55
- Carson, NM D+40
- Picuris Pueblo, NM D+20
- Penasco, NM D+20
- Taos Pueblo, NM D+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dutch John, UT R+60
- Dalesburg, SD R+46
- Easton, LA R+85
- Cross Roads, IN R+57
- Crary, ND R+48
- Georgia, LA D+19
- Wing, ND R+73
- Glendale Colony, SD R+54
- Grant, IA R+49
- Gros Cap, MI R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.