Lutz leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Lutz typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lutz, ~31% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lutz compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lutz leans more Republican than 29 of 62 neighbors.
Lutz runs about 5 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lutz. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Lutz leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lutz, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lutz votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 63%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lutz, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lutz looks the way it does
Turnout in Lutz sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cheval, FL R+11
- Lake Magdalene, FL R+8
- University, FL D+34
- Northdale, FL R+5
- Land O' Lakes, FL R+22
- Citrus Park, FL R+5
- Temple Terrace, FL D+20
- Odessa, FL R+23
- Wesley Chapel, FL R+6
- Egypt Lake-Leto, FL R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Westfield, NJ D+27
- East Northport, NY R+14
- Front Royal, VA R+30
- Hightstown, NJ D+25
- Batavia, OH R+36
- Scarsdale, NY D+33
- Piedmont, SC R+33
- Walnut, CA D+10
- Lake Jackson, TX R+36
- Southgate, MI Even
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.