Lyle leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Lyle typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lyle, ~33% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lyle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lyle leans more Republican than 15 of 26 neighbors.
Lyle runs about 41 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lyle is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lyle. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Lyle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lyle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lyle votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lyle runs about 41 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Lyle sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 80% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Lyle, WA does.
Why turnout in Lyle looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Lyle have completed high school, about 7 points above the Washington average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mosier, OR R+4
- Chenoweth, OR R+20
- Dallesport, WA R+33
- Klickitat, WA R+29
- Appleton, WA R+25
- The Dalles, OR R+10
- White Salmon, WA D+28
- Bingen, WA D+18
- Hood River, OR D+29
- Husum, WA D+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stoutland, MO R+72
- Westminster, VT D+22
- Holiday Manor, FL R+22
- Plum Springs, KY R+30
- Rocky Ridge, MD R+49
- Holiday Hills, IL R+13
- Vega, TX R+72
- Mixon, TX R+84
- Buffalo Lake, MN R+57
- Helenville, WI R+40
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.