Lynchburg is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Lynchburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lynchburg, ~11% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lynchburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lynchburg leans more Republican than 32 of 59 neighbors.
Lynchburg runs about 39 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lynchburg. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Lynchburg leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lynchburg. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lynchburg, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lynchburg looks the way it does
Turnout in Lynchburg sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hilltop, TN R+67
- Ridgeville, TN R+69
- Center Grove, TN R+69
- Marble Hill, TN R+71
- Flat Creek, TN R+68
- Mulberry, TN R+73
- Booneville, TN R+73
- Tullahoma, TN R+47
- Winchester Springs, TN R+70
- Singleton, TN R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gun Barrel City, TX R+60
- Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, MD R+9
- Amery, WI R+25
- Natalia, TX R+28
- Calvert City, KY R+54
- Pisgah Forest, NC R+23
- Milton, WA D+5
- Fairview, NY D+16
- Cold Spring, KY R+25
- Lee, NH Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.