Mackinaw City leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Mackinaw City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mackinaw City, ~32% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mackinaw City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mackinaw City leans more Republican than 11 of 26 neighbors.
Mackinaw City runs about 19 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Mackinaw City leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mackinaw City. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Mackinaw City, MI does.
Why turnout in Mackinaw City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mackinaw City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carp Lake, MI R+25
- St. Ignace, MI R+9
- Mackinac Island, MI D+8
- Gros Cap, MI R+18
- Levering, MI R+27
- Point Nipigon, MI R+30
- Weadock, MI R+35
- Pointe Aux Pins, MI R+14
- Van, MI R+34
- Mullett Lake, MI R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clayton, LA D+12
- Bray, OK R+73
- Kellogg, MN R+34
- Corinth, MI R+37
- Alsea, OR R+7
- Tipton, OK R+67
- Haywood City, MO R+67
- Butte Des Morts, WI R+25
- Benkelman, NE R+61
- Pippa Passes, KY R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.