Manalapan leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Manalapan typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manalapan, ~21% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manalapan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manalapan leans more Republican than 42 of 45 neighbors.
Manalapan runs about 14 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Manalapan leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manalapan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manalapan votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 30%, well below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Manalapan, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Manalapan looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in Manalapan rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Manalapan sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hypoluxo, FL R+5
- Lantana, FL D+5
- Ocean Ridge, FL R+21
- Briny Breezes, FL R+14
- Atlantis, FL R+5
- Boynton Beach, FL D+16
- Gulf Stream, FL R+24
- Lake Worth, FL D+10
- Golf, FL R+14
- Lake Clarke Shores, FL R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grafton, VT D+20
- Adamsburg, PA R+33
- Modoc, GA R+49
- Waldo, ME R+22
- Macdoel, CA R+22
- Bern, KS R+69
- Fitch, KY R+60
- Harrisburg, TX R+58
- Redbird, KY R+77
- Champion, NY R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.