Mandalay is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Mandalay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mandalay, ~9% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mandalay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mandalay leans more Republican than 69 of 82 neighbors.
Mandalay runs about 41 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mandalay. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+59), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Mandalay leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mandalay. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Mandalay, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mandalay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mandalay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Milligan Ridge, AR R+69
- Lennie, AR R+39
- Etowah, AR R+59
- Floodway, AR R+33
- Caraway, AR R+69
- Walters, AR R+70
- Manila, AR R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zahl, ND R+74
- Floriston, CA D+5
- Gwin, MS D+66
- Ramah, TN R+77
- Redbird, NE R+72
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.