Manning leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Manning typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manning, ~22% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manning compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manning leans more Republican than 4 of 45 neighbors.
Manning runs about 14 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manning. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Manning leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manning, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Manning live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Manning sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 91% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Manning, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Manning looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 85% of adults in Manning have completed high school, below 78% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dalark, AR R+14
- Sparkman, AR R+58
- Pine Grove, AR R+59
- Princeton, AR R+10
- Round Hill, AR R+57
- Griffithtown, AR R+21
- Lono, AR R+30
- Joan, AR R+22
- Ouachita, AR R+63
- Holly Springs, AR R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stacy, TX R+80
- Strool, SD R+75
- Diamond Lake Junction, OR R+36
- Duke, OK R+77
- Princeton, AR R+10
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.