Middletown leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in Middletown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middletown, ~41% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middletown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middletown leans more Democratic than 63 of 76 neighbors.
Politically, Middletown sits close to the rest of Rhode Island.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Middletown. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+24) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Middletown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middletown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Middletown hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Middletown, RI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Middletown looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Middletown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Newport East, RI D+15
- Newport, RI D+47
- Portsmouth, RI D+19
- Jamestown, RI D+25
- Little Compton, RI D+9
- Prudence Island, RI D+35
- Tiverton, RI Even
- Saunderstown, RI D+13
- North Kingstown, RI D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Lisbon, WI R+29
- Rush City, MN R+36
- Vienna, IN R+58
- West Lafayette, OH R+57
- Springfield, KY R+52
- Russell, KY R+41
- Mansfield, PA R+33
- Placitas, NM D+34
- Cle Elum, WA R+19
- Lake Barrington, IL D+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.